CASE (Warsaw) and CASE Ukraine co-organized a seminar “Development of the Leading Indicators for Economic Growth in Ukraine” to present the results of the research conducted for the project "Development of the Early Warning System of Macroeconomic Crises for Ukraine"
The project aims at developing the early warning system for Ukrainian economy, and enhancing the government’s capacity to monitor and analyze the current economic trends, structural changes in the economy, and better assess macroeconomic risks in order to prevent and/or alleviate macroeconomic distortions and crises leading to recessions and potentially serious political and social instabilities.
In this research special attention was given to the development of leading indicators for economic growth. We will present the Composite Leading Index that demonstrates pretty good results in predicting the turning points in deviations from growth trend in the industrial production starting from the year of 2000.
Presentations made at the event can be downloaded below: